Nintendo’s NX is “doomed” without third-party support

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NX

If there’s one thing Xbox and PlayStation fanboys can agree on, when not fighting with each other, it’s that Nintendo’s Wii U is a bit of a flop. While it’s a great machine with some of the best games I’ve played this generation, it’s been hurt, badly, by weak system specs and a lack of third-party support.

I sincerely hope Nintendo’s busy trying to rekindle and foster third-party relationships, because unless it learns from the mistakes of the past, it’s doomed to repeat them. Without third-party support, Nintendo’s new system – currently called NX – is in trouble, before it’s even out.

That’s the suggestion of industry sooth-sayer and gaming analysts, Michael Pachter. Speaking in the latest episode of SIFTD’s Pachter Factor, the outspoken Analysts says Nintendo is doomed unless the NX is comparable to the current consoles.

“If Nintendo gets the same level of support for NX that it got for the Wii U, it’s doomed before it launches,” Pachter said (via Nintendo Insider). “That’s much, much more important than the price. If they get third-party support, if they make it in such a way that everyone can port every game over and the incremental cost to make if for Xbox One, PS4 and NX is $1-2 million, every game will be there.

“If it’s a whole different language, or requires a whole different programming scheme, or requires something to do with the GamePad where you’ve got the controller different the way Wii U works, it’s doomed. No one’s going to support it.”

Publishers might be hesitant to support it though, because they’ve been burned by the Wii and the Wii U, neither of which were particularly friendly to third parties – especially ones the casual bubble burst on Nintendo’s Waggle-box.

“I think the publishers are leery of Nintendo, the third-party publishers. I think they got burned by the Wii, they were never good on the Wii, they got burned by the Wii U – especially Ubisoft. So, I think they are going to be very, very cautious.”

The only real shot the system has is if it’s similar enough to the current consoles.

“The more this thing looks like a PS4 or Xbox One I think the better it does, and, ultimately, the only people who are going to buy it are people that don’t have a PS4 or Xbox One. Or, people who have a PS4 or Xbox One, and want to play Nintendo games.

“There are a lot of the latter and by the time NX comes out – assuming it comes out in 2016 – the PS4 and Xbox One will be barely halfway through saturating their potential install base. So, perhaps the NX will capture a third of that remaining market, because if you don’t have either a PS4 or Xbox One and you can play everything on PS4 or Xbox One except first-party titles, what are you giving up? You get all Nintendo first-party, and you’re giving up a handful of Microsoft and Sony first-party. So, it’s going to be back to close to a level playing field, but it really depends on third-party support.

“Don’t know what they are going to do, don’t know when the NX will come, [don’t] really know what Nintendo’s got planned – we don’t know many details. I am sure we are going to see something on the NX next year, [but] I’m not sure when it’s launching. When I hear more, I reserve the right to change my mind about exactly what things are going to do and how well they’ll sell.”

For a change, I have to agree with Pachter. While there are indeed many rabid Nintendo fans who’ll buy the system without blinking, there are many more who’re hesitant to throw down a ton of cash until the system proves itself. Without great support from outside of Nintendo though, that’s just not going to happen. If it doesn’t, the system will once again be home to Nintendo’s excellent in-house games, and little else.

With rumours that it’s a hybrid system, chances of it being powerful enough to compete with the newer consoles are unlikely if they’re true.

Last Updated: November 17, 2015

Geoffrey Tim

Editor. I’m old, grumpy and more than just a little cynical. One day, I found myself in possession of a NES, and a copy of Super Mario Bros 3. It was that game that made me realise that games were more than just toys to idly while away time – they were capable of being masterpieces. I’m here now, looking for more of those masterpieces.

  • Loftus

    The console wars is losing its momentum.

  • Alien Emperor Trevor

    He’s been saying Nintendo’s doomed for as long as I can remember.

  • 40 Insane Frogs

    I can honestly say that I’m disappointed in my wii u. The wii u makes the xbone look like a straight-A student rather than the special-ed creature that it truly is. Nintendo isn’t just doomed because they lack third-party support, but they’re doomed because their software and hardware are utter balls. They’re so stuck in the past (with their pathetic ageing fanbase) that I doubt the NX will save them.

  • Hammersteyn

    He’s pretty good at stating the obvious sometimes

  • oVg

    Nintendo is doomed if they dont get out of the childish box and start making more mature games. This is not the 90s where they had to change the Fatalities in Mortal Kombat and change the colour of the blood to green.

    Every 8 year old is playing Fallout 4 or COD. They need to get with the times. As much as I love their innocent image, they will not survive in this modern world. Not to mention that all the casuals from the Wii era have moved to cell phone gaming.

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