Yet another analyst has his view on Blu-Ray vs HD-DVD

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Rob Enderle Okay these analysts views are a dime a dozen but this one takes a slightly different viewpoint.

A lot of people point to the PS3 as the reason why Blu-Ray will win this war. However Rob Enderle has taken a slightly different view. He actually points to the PS3 as the reason why Blu-Ray will fail…

However, this was all before I knew the cost of the Blu-ray technology, and it was based on the assumption that Sony would never be stupid enough to price itself out of the game console market

Given my history with Sony, you’d think I’d know better and would have assumed it would be that stupid. That likely would have resulted in a lot less pain all around.

He goes on to say that Sony lied about how far advanced the Blu-Ray technology was and then by hitting the market late and over priced they not only killed their console but killed the hopes of Blu-Ray as well. However he also does not believe that HD-DVD will win either. Neither format offers anything that is worth the huge expense.

This is becoming a very common point of view, why should we stump up for Blu-Ray or HD-DVD players when they offer us very little over DVD which has a better range and is obviously much cheaper.

Technology News: Commentary: Blu-ray Loses, Rhapsody/MTV Target iTunes Weakness, Product of the Week

Last Updated: August 28, 2007

Gavin Mannion

I for one welcome our future robotic overlords

  • Abe

    Hmmm, thats right no difference in 5Gb Vs 50gb.
    I gotta disagree with you on this one Gavin (are you surprised?).
    Did you say the same thing about DVD vs VHS.
    At launch of DVD, VHS would have also been cheaper and would also have a better range.
    Technology will always progress, and HD DVD/BD is the new evolution.
    at $200 dollars for a HD DVD player I cant say I see the price as being much of a hurdle, I can remember when DVD players entered the market at a much greater price.
    Infact arnt some DVD players still more than that?

  • SlippyMadFrog

    @Abe

    I think the leap between VHS and DVD is far greater than the leap between HD DVD and DVD.
    The leap between VHS and DVD was like the leap between tape and CD which is HUGE. Fast skipping, CD’s last longer, better quality, ect.

    The only advantage HD-DVD has over DVD is space -> better quality. I don’t think that alone will WOW the general public like CD’s WOWed them.

  • doobiwan

    I agree Slippy.

    There’s an analogue here, and that’s SACD vs DVD-Audio. Same promises “multichannel, 24bit, 96khz” super quality bun fight of ultimate audio quality.

    Anyone own dedicated SACD or DVD-Audio player? Exactly, no. The perceivable difference wasn’t enough to get the mass market to migrate away from CD, and in the interim downloadable music has taken over. While both formats are still available in limited quantities, it’s pretty fair to say that neither will ever take over the market.

  • Abe

    But from a computer stand point, the storage space that these mediums deliver is huge, sure hard drives are getting bigger and cheaper, but I still burn DVD’s every day for portability, and always find them lacking in size.

    But anyway my point was, that the price of the new tech really isnt that insane. I have seen a Bluray burner for a pc for R3000, thats a really decent price.

  • LazySAGamer

    For R3000 I could buy a portable HDD with more space…

    Like Doobiwan and SlippyMadFrog have said. HD-DVD and Blu-Ray just don’t give enough benefit to justify the current cost. Yea you can pick up a Blu-Ray recorder for R3k, burn all your data and then do nothing with it because it is not standard yet and at the rate this technology is being picked up it may never become standard.

    I know I am not buying either until I see some solid reason to.

  • Milesh Bhana

    If we all had 1080p screens and decent HT systems then the next-gen formats will definitely be worth it. It all depends on how long it takes for the tech to be adopted.

    I mean look at PCs, how often today do you see PCs being sold with CRT monitors. Virtually never now. It’s all LCD. So until HDTV and home theatre systems become the norm, these formats will be a niche thing. There are so many people watching their DVDs on 51cm TVs, just the TV speakers and a R200 DVD player. AND are happy with it.

    We need HDTV broadcasting, HDTV to be affordable to the general public (i’m talking like 2-3K for a 30′ – 32′ screen here) and for video rental stores to have wide selections.

    The news like “Paramount chooses HD-DVD, but not Speilburg who wants Blu-Ray”, becomes irrelavant until those requirements are met.

  • hilt_ctn

    Milesh brings it home.

    I saw an article on CNN.com not too long ago where a reporter walking through an electronics store illustrates that there was not one CRT TV on sale.
    Since then, the adoption rate stands at 30% of American households who now have HDTVs

    In Oct, Multichoice will have inhouse HD channels running for testing, so it’s only a matter of time before they start to offer the service.

    So it’s coming, wether people are ready or not

  • Abe

    Dont trust CNN = Fox = Robert Murdoch = Money over Facts

  • scotty777

    well… there’s teradisc’s which have a storage of 1000gb’s… now thats wow

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