Home Gaming Destiny to earn $600-900 million this year?

Destiny to earn $600-900 million this year?

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Destiny pew

I love the fact that there are so many analysts and researchers in the field of video games. The latest batch of research sounds quite in-depth, and appears to indicate that the massive investment in the Destiny IP could well pay off sooner than expected.

According to Cowen’s Ordometer, which tracks US video game orders before launch and then correlates the results to sales after launch, Destiny could be the top-selling game of the year. In analysis published on Venture Beat, Cowen Research analyst Doug Creutz believes that Destiny could sell 10-15 million copies, roughly $600-900 million at retail.

Destiny has the highest Ordometer score of any game tracked over the past four years and could outsell Call of Duty: Advanced Warfare. On the opposite end of the spectrum, Battlefield Hardline isn’t looking too good – its Ordometer score is below that of Battlefield 3 or 4. Ubisoft is showing strong titles this year – Assassin’s Creed: Unity and Far Cry 4 are seeing plenty of advanced interest; however The Crew appears to be “dead on arrival”.

Here is the top list for the 2014 Ordometer:

  1. Destiny
  2. Halo: TMCC
  3. Assassin’s Creed: Unity
  4. Call of Duty: Advanced Warfare
  5. Far Cry 4
  6. GTA V
  7. Dragon Age: Inquisition
  8. Diablo III UUE
  9. Forza Horizon 2
  10. Middle Earth: Shadow of Mordor

In the end, it’s all a bunch of analysis and things could still change. However, it’s encouraging to see a new IP doing so well at launch, assuming Destiny lives up to the expectations. With such high pre-orders, it’s an excellent sign and will hopefully mean that we will see more big studios investing in new games instead of just re-making existing successful titles.

Also, I’m really excited to see how high Assassin’s Creed, Far Cry 4, Dragon Age and Shadow of Mordor are on the list. All these games blew me away at E3, and it will make me really happy to see them do so well this year. I just need to figure out when I will have time to play them all – why must all the excellent games release at the same time?

Last Updated: June 30, 2014

76 Comments

  1. Admiral Chief Cyber Commando

    June 30, 2014 at 12:31

    Would have been much moar MOAR if on PC dammit!

    Reply

    • ToshZA

      June 30, 2014 at 12:36

      Ah PC gamers. It wasn’t our Destiny it seems.

      Reply

      • Kensei Seraph

        June 30, 2014 at 12:58

        People who make terrible puns like this should be … made to suffer.

        Reply

        • Alien Emperor Trevor

          June 30, 2014 at 13:00

          No such thing as a bad pun.

          Reply

          • Kensei Seraph

            June 30, 2014 at 13:06

            You have led a blessed life.

    • Alien Emperor Trevor

      June 30, 2014 at 12:44

      Some things are just not meant to be.

      Reply

    • Sageville

      June 30, 2014 at 13:03

      In case of PC…

      Reply

      • Alien Emperor Trevor

        June 30, 2014 at 13:06

        That’s right. Precision control, the hallmark of the PC!

        Reply

        • Sageville

          June 30, 2014 at 13:14

          Dood, that is a rhetorical meme!

          Reply

          • Alien Emperor Trevor

            June 30, 2014 at 13:18

            My bad πŸ™

        • Hammersteyn

          June 30, 2014 at 13:16

          Only he meant it’s not on PC

          Reply

          • Alien Emperor Trevor

            June 30, 2014 at 13:19

            So I turned a negative into a positive.

      • oVg Panzaboye

        June 30, 2014 at 13:19

        What? my penis is a violin?

        Reply

        • Rince&Shitity

          June 30, 2014 at 13:20

          0_O

          Reply

        • Kensei Seraph

          June 30, 2014 at 13:20

          • Norm

            June 30, 2014 at 14:06

          • oVg Panzaboye

            June 30, 2014 at 14:11

            WIN

        • Admiral Chief Cyber Commando

          June 30, 2014 at 13:21

          Small and noisy?

          Reply

          • Hammersteyn

            June 30, 2014 at 13:21

            XD

          • Hammersteyn

            June 30, 2014 at 13:22

            Out of tune?

          • Admiral Chief Cyber Commando

            June 30, 2014 at 13:23

            Not popular?

          • Alien Emperor Trevor

            June 30, 2014 at 13:26

            Well given the GTA context, I’d say Gone in 60 Seconds.

          • Admiral Chief Cyber Commando

            June 30, 2014 at 13:28

            The little engine that could?

          • Hammersteyn

            June 30, 2014 at 13:28

            A 10 second machine?

          • Alien Emperor Trevor

            June 30, 2014 at 13:29

            We’re not talking about me now!

          • Hammersteyn

            June 30, 2014 at 13:43

            hahaha

      • Kensei Seraph

        June 30, 2014 at 13:20

        GTA V font.
        GTA V is confirmed to be coming to PC.
        Destiny is confirmed to be coming to PC.

        Thanks Sageville, you’re a good person.

        Reply

        • Sageville

          June 30, 2014 at 13:30

          Master Race logic in action!

          Reply

          • Kensei Seraph

            June 30, 2014 at 13:34

            Well it’s more plausible than most of the HL3 theories.

          • Sageville

            June 30, 2014 at 14:28

            Indeed!

    • Pieter Smal

      June 30, 2014 at 13:58

      Meanwhile… there are awesome titles EXCLUSIVELY to the PC as well…

      Reply

  2. Alien Emperor Trevor

    June 30, 2014 at 12:39

    Wow, if it does that well it’ll be almost as successful as Titanfall!

    Reply

    • Sk3tz0

      June 30, 2014 at 12:47

      almost as successful but less Broken πŸ˜›

      Reply

  3. Rince&Shitity

    June 30, 2014 at 12:52

    OvG better not see this…

    Reply

    • oVg Panzaboye

      June 30, 2014 at 13:06

      Like when I told you that I had a feeling that Watch Dogs was not going to live up to its expectations 4 months ago.
      I bet you a Banana Muffin that the amount of players will decline as fast as Titanfalls.

      Nice to see some DATA farming working against the greedy buggers.

      Reply

      • Admiral Chief Cyber Commando

        June 30, 2014 at 13:07

        Do you have Jimmy’s consent to bake this muffin?

        Reply

        • oVg Panzaboye

          June 30, 2014 at 13:08

          Do you know the muffin man?

          Reply

          • Rince&Shitity

            June 30, 2014 at 13:09

            The muffin man!?

          • oVg Panzaboye

            June 30, 2014 at 13:10

            Yes the muffin man.

          • Rince&Shitity

            June 30, 2014 at 13:11

            Do you know the muffin man who lives on Drury Lane?

          • oVg Panzaboye

            June 30, 2014 at 13:15

            Shut up Ginger πŸ˜›

          • Admiral Chief Cyber Commando

            June 30, 2014 at 13:20

            Heh, GingerBreadMan (GBM)

          • Alien Emperor Trevor

            June 30, 2014 at 13:32

            That acronym works nicely in Afrikaans too.

          • Norm

            June 30, 2014 at 14:05

            NOT THE BUTTONS!!!!!

        • Kensei Seraph

          June 30, 2014 at 13:08

          Do you get the cows consent before cooking a steak?

          Reply

          • Alien Emperor Trevor

            June 30, 2014 at 13:08

            Moo means yes.

          • Kensei Seraph

            June 30, 2014 at 13:09

            O_O

            You better not let the feminists find you.

          • ToshZA

            June 30, 2014 at 13:10

            He’ll be fine as long as he avoids the kitchen.

          • Alien Emperor Trevor

            June 30, 2014 at 13:10

            I think I’m safe, whatever I’m doing is working so far.

          • Admiral Chief Cyber Commando

            June 30, 2014 at 13:20

            Are you saying the feminists moo?

          • Kensei Seraph

            June 30, 2014 at 13:22

            “Moo means yes.”
            “Noo means yes.”
            “No means yes.”

            I can’t believe I have to explain this…

          • oVg Panzaboye

            June 30, 2014 at 13:10

            Said the first ever human who decided it would be a good idea to squeeze its udders and make cheese.

            PURE ALPHA got all the bitches.

    • Kensei Seraph

      June 30, 2014 at 13:09

      I’ve noticed that a lot of the articles so far today seem to be targeted at @disqus_CmSOeB7F9d:disqus .

      Reply

      • Rince&Shitity

        June 30, 2014 at 13:09

        Indeed. Must be a slow day at work for him. I’ll give him a klap when I see him this weekend.

        Reply

        • Kensei Seraph

          June 30, 2014 at 13:11

          It’s a slow day at work for me.

          I’ve got 1 more thing to do this week, and I might be able to finish it tomorrow.

          Reply

          • Rince&Shitity

            June 30, 2014 at 13:12

            I’m actually working from home today…

          • oVg Panzaboye

            June 30, 2014 at 13:13

            Work and Home in one sentence just does not compute for me…
            REBOOT REBOOT

          • Kensei Seraph

            June 30, 2014 at 13:14

            Same here.

          • Sageville

            June 30, 2014 at 13:15

            I’m actually “working” from home today…

            fixed.

          • Rince&Shitity

            June 30, 2014 at 13:15

            hahaha indeed πŸ˜‰

          • Alien Emperor Trevor

            June 30, 2014 at 13:22

            I’m “working” at work, thought I could do with a change of scenery.

          • Hammersteyn

            June 30, 2014 at 13:16

            no pants!

          • Rince&Shitity

            June 30, 2014 at 13:16

            Yes, I mean, what?!

          • Sageville

            June 30, 2014 at 13:28

            Lego Movie flashback…

          • oVg Panzaboye

            June 30, 2014 at 13:12

            Said every videogame developer while waiting for the rest of the TAX fiscal year to run out.

  4. Kensei Seraph

    June 30, 2014 at 12:57

    Random thought: anyone know what would happen if someone pre-ordered, played the beta and then decided to cancel their pre-order?

    Reply

    • Admiral Chief Cyber Commando

      June 30, 2014 at 13:06

      The universe would implode, don’t do it man!

      Reply

      • Kensei Seraph

        June 30, 2014 at 13:22

        Well it’s not coming out on PC is it.

        Reply

      • Hammersteyn

        June 30, 2014 at 13:22

        I dare him to try it with Kalahari

        Reply

    • Rags

      June 30, 2014 at 13:16

      Refund on Origin at least.

      Reply

    • oVg Panzaboye

      June 30, 2014 at 13:17

      Never, the indoctrination always works.

      Reply

  5. oVg Panzaboye

    June 30, 2014 at 13:03

    Its very easy to analyse the games market these days. You just need to know the MARKETING BUDGETS behind each game to predict its outcome because gamers are predictable sheep.

    Although nobody would have predicted Dark Souls earning that massive profit with little to no marketing budget, but we all knew that Dark Souls 2 was going to waver into the soulless void of greedy marketers.

    Reply

  6. Hammersteyn

    June 30, 2014 at 13:17

    It’s earning my cash, but this better be worth the hype.

    Reply

    • Rince&Shitity

      June 30, 2014 at 13:17

      yeah man!

      Reply

  7. Xx_-Gaben_of_Gamen-_xX

    June 30, 2014 at 13:41

    Destiny will rule supreme

    Reply

  8. HisDivineOrder

    June 30, 2014 at 15:44

    I think a game like The Crew is one that Ubisoft needs to be prepared for it taking a long time to really become a hit. It’s a new franchise in a played out, tired genre that even EA is taking a long hiatus from and they’re the market leaders.

    As for Destiny, well, I think it’s going to do great out the gate and then it’s going to peter out.

    Like Titanfail. Everything I’m seeing of the beta/alpha looked really routine and not something that’ll sustain itself for very long. Like Borderlands, but with all the quirkiness replaced with pseudo-Halo seriousness.

    Reply

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