The PlayStation 4 and the Xbox One will soon both be available, kicking off yet another round of silly (but endlessly entertaining) console wars. According to Pachter, in ten years, it isn’t even going to matter.
Speaking at the London Games Conference, presumptuous prognosticator Pachter said he believes the PS4 will outsell the Xbox one slightly; 100 to 120 million units lifetime for the PS4 to Xbox One’s 90 – 110 million units – and that the poor Wii U will sell only 30 million in its lifetime.
It doesn’t matter though, because in 10 years, he says, consoles will probably be irrelevant, replaced by more powerful mobile devices.
“I don’t think the console market will get any bigger,” he said. “The console installed base has peaked. Consoles may not be relevant in 10 years. We have expanded the market beyond the hardcore console owner. We now have ten times the audience over the internet, six times the audience over mobile.
“And I think one day you’ll get to play any game, anywhere on any device.”
As much as I don’t want that to happen, I fear that it’s really the way things are going to go.; instead of bonafide consoles, we’ll have really powerful tablets or mobiles that we can beam games to our TV’s through.
There’re many industry folk who believe this will be the very last round of consoles as we know them. Are they right? Analysts also said the 3DS and Vita were doomed, because people would rather play games on their mobiles – and they weren’t completely right about that one.
Last Updated: November 14, 2013
Alien Emperor Trevor
November 14, 2013 at 14:36
They probably won’t be replaced, there may just be more options – like streaming from a mobile device. I suspect big AAA titles will still need dedicated hardware though.