Home Gaming Cyberpunk 2077 is expected to sell 20 million units in its first year according to one business analyst

Cyberpunk 2077 is expected to sell 20 million units in its first year according to one business analyst

2 min read
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Don’t buy into the hype.

Don’t buy into the hype.

Don’t buy into the hype.

Don’t fly into the stripe.

And yet, Cyberpunk 2077 may be the exception to the rule. It’s not just the fact that this upcoming post-human game looks phenomenal in action, chunky and happens to have Keanu Reeves inside of it, but the fact that it has a lineage that most developers would kill for. A pedigree of excellence based on a handful of excellent games from a single developer who rose up as a scrappy underdog and have become a brand that is synonymous with quality.

CD Projekt Red has so much goodwill that they could livestream a day at the shooting range where they could use Labrador puppies as targets and they’d still be adored by their legions of fans even when they’re up to their knees in chunks of adorable blood. With several years of development, hype and a commitment to creating good games as opposed to glorified adverts for microtransactions, there’s an expectation that Cyberpunk 2077 is going to do stupidly well when it arrives next year.

According to one analyst, that game is going to sell at least 20 million units in its launch year.

That’s the word from Bloomberg analyst Matthew Kanterman, who reckons that CD Projekt Red can crack that figure thanks to its history of game releases and a decent bit of marketing for the sandbox cyber-shenanigans game. Cyberpunk 2077 also benefits from the fact that it has first-person shooter mechanics, a genre of gaming that already has a massive userbase as opposed to The Witcher 3’s RPG market which was more niche in nature. With a Keanu Reeves endorsement on top of that, CD Projekt Red is going to have a hell of a year keeping up with demand for their product.

For comparison’s sake, it took the beloved Witcher 3 four years to crack the 20 million sales mark. Which is still a hell of an achievement. Twenty million sales in one year? I’ve got a feeling that Cyberpunk 2077 can crack that number and surpass it in a year, seeing as how just about everyone is talking about the game right now. Whether it can beat top of the chart titans such as Grand Theft Auto V (110 million lifetime sales), should make for an interesting fight in the years to come.

Last Updated: October 24, 2019

46 Comments

  1. Only 20 million?

    Reply

    • The D

      October 24, 2019 at 12:36

      Just in the first year!

      Reply

      • Hammersteyn

        October 24, 2019 at 12:51

        Exactly my point XD

        Reply

  2. Kromas

    October 24, 2019 at 12:51

    Killing puppies with John Wick in the room sounds like a terrible idea.

    Reply

  3. CrAiGiSh

    October 24, 2019 at 12:51

    I will be part of this history.

    Reply

  4. BradeLunner

    October 24, 2019 at 13:07

    This article gave me hype, and maybe a few temporary buffed IQ points, nice write up

    Reply

  5. Yozzie

    October 24, 2019 at 13:08

    Pre ordered and waiting.

    Reply

    • Alien Emperor Trevor

      October 24, 2019 at 13:25

      Never pre-order!

      Reply

      • Yozzie

        October 24, 2019 at 13:59

        Why aren’t you playing more Gears 5

        Reply

  6. Raptor Rants

    October 24, 2019 at 13:08

    I’m too afraid to drop money of this. Worried my PC just isn’t going to cut it. The 1060 should be OK. But my i7-2600 is going to struggle like mad

    Reply

    • The D

      October 24, 2019 at 13:08

      Just out of interest’s sake, would you consider purchasing a console and weigh the price of that to a hefty PC upgrade?

      Reply

      • Raptor Rants

        October 24, 2019 at 13:25

        My biggest gripe with Console is that it’s no longer what console should be in my mind. Massive day 1 patches and all the troubles of the modern PC world.

        So now you have a unit that, yes is cheaper than a brand new PC, but has many of the same frustrations and isn’t plug and game anymore.

        BUT, I’d love a console nonetheless to expand on my gaming library possibilities. But for that I need to not come 7th in CH gaming competitions

        Reply

      • Raptor Rants

        October 24, 2019 at 15:29

        The thought has crossed my mind. But I always come back to the fact that a PC allows me to do a few more things that a console doesn’t.

        Reply

        • HvR

          October 24, 2019 at 15:50

          Jip way to many games I enjoy that is never on console or when they are there is no or little mod support which makes those specific games os enjoyable.

          Reply

    • Yozzie

      October 24, 2019 at 13:08

      Well the Xbox One has a 1070 equivalent in it and that thing can run TRUE NATIVE 4K!

      Reply

    • Geoffrey Tim

      October 24, 2019 at 13:24

      Honestly, CPU is hardly much of bottleneck in modern games still. 2600 will do fine imo.

      Reply

      • Raptor Rants

        October 24, 2019 at 13:24

        I’ve noticed some games that struggle hey. Although it’s not usually AAA games that are bad with CPU. It’s usually the smaller dev games that struggle. I really hope this game is optimised well.

        Reply

        • HvR

          October 24, 2019 at 13:25

          Have you run analysis while gaming, most of the time is dated motherboard tech that is the bottleneck.

          Reply

          • Raptor Rants

            October 24, 2019 at 15:50

            Really? I’ve never considered my motherboard to be a bottleneck…. I’ve always suspected it’s the fact that the 2600 only supports PCIe2.0 and then obviously the instruction sets etc that the newer gen stuff has advantage over and is designed for vs my older CPU that’s trying to now do things it was never designed for.

            How would you even analyze a motherboard issue?

          • HvR

            October 24, 2019 at 16:31

            Well if your are stuck on PCIe2 then it is actually a motherboard tech issue, you are basically sitting in a situation where the bottleneck is on bus (and controller) on the motherboard basically only giving the 1060 half the data it can potentially process.

            When you run monitoring software you probably see both your i7 and 1060 not pushing anywhere near 100%.

            Unfortunately upgrading to motherboard with say something like 200 or 300 series chipset means you need a new CPU as well. But if the budget is tight stick with budget series Celeron for 1000 randelas and pop in a i3 or i5 in at a later stage maybe after your next GPU upgrade.

            Although you might want to wait 4 or 5 months since that is when Comet Lake chipset motherboards come out which will have DDR4 and PCIe 4 support AND also a new CPU socket for future proofing.

          • Guz

            October 24, 2019 at 16:50

            @Darryn_Bonthuys:disqus Just a thought it would be nice if we had an upgrade advice article every so often like above, were people could ask and get advice

          • The D

            October 28, 2019 at 15:41

            I’ll check with Geoff. I’m the last person who should be writing PC hardware advice 😀

          • Raptor Rants

            October 24, 2019 at 20:05

            PCIe2 is the best that the CPU can do sadly. The 2600 simply doesn’t support 3.0. So even if I got a 3.0 mobo that supports socket 1155 (I think that’s what Intel use? I’m so out the game) it wouldn’t help. So upgrade is the only path hehe.

          • HvR

            October 24, 2019 at 20:39

            Well yes it only has the PCIe 2 instruction set. And you actually do get LGA1155 mobo that was for the Ivy Bridge (which has the PCIe3 instructions set) and you will probably be able (not 100% sure) put an Ivy Bridge processor on your current mobo but will have the same issue as it is probably first revision mobo of with the LGA1155 socket.

          • Raptor Rants

            October 24, 2019 at 20:57

            yeah it’s got a PCIe3 upgrade firmware but I always look suspiciously at those. It wasn’t designed for that.

            But until I absolutely need to I won’t upgrade. If I can run a game on high. Great. Medium I’m still ok. As long as it’s not low I’m actually fairly happy

      • HvR

        October 24, 2019 at 13:25

        Jip I actually went for a Celeron paired with the 1060 (basically so that I could spend the R2k saved on a i3 and rather go for a 1060 6GB ; the cpu only starts peaking when the GPU peaks

        Reply

    • Guz

      October 24, 2019 at 13:25

      ??I5 5700,/ gtx960.

      Reply

      • Raptor Rants

        October 24, 2019 at 15:50

        Never underestimate those 960s man

        Reply

        • Guz

          October 24, 2019 at 16:10

          I know, its doing fine atm, but I’m worried that I will need to play this on low settings *shudders*

          Reply

          • Raptor Rants

            October 24, 2019 at 19:30

            I know what you mean. I look at the graphics and I’m just blown away

    • HairyEwok

      October 24, 2019 at 13:42

      I’ve already upgraded. RTX 2080 Super better do the job or else I’m going to cry myself to sleep until i can afford a card that can.

      Reply

      • Raptor Rants

        October 24, 2019 at 13:59

        Wow…..

        Reply

        • HairyEwok

          October 24, 2019 at 14:35

          You know what is really sad though, I have Ray Tracing and DLSS features that i haven’t even tried or used yet. Glorified feature paperweight at the moment.

          Reply

          • Raptor Rants

            October 24, 2019 at 17:10

            Wasn’t there a Quake RTX demo somwhere?

          • HairyEwok

            October 24, 2019 at 17:29

            Yes, Quake 2 RTX, but why would I just tease myself. I would rather play the whole game over again. I’m going to attempt Minecraft RTX tonight… That is if i do not bugger up all the installations.

          • Raptor Rants

            October 24, 2019 at 17:52

            ah yes. Modding. I’ve been modding my Skyrim the past few days.

            Hey… I wonder if Skyrim has an RTX mod….

            edit: Looks like the answer is pseudo Ray Tracing using ENB. So no

          • Raptor Rants

            October 24, 2019 at 17:52

            ah yes. Modding. I’ve been modding my Skyrim the past few days.

            Hey… I wonder if Skyrim has an RTX mod….

            edit: Looks like the answer is pseudo Ray Tracing using ENB. So no

          • Raptor Rants

            October 24, 2019 at 17:52

            ah yes. Modding. I’ve been modding my Skyrim the past few days.

            Hey… I wonder if Skyrim has an RTX mod….

            edit: Looks like the answer is pseudo Ray Tracing using ENB. So no

          • Raptor Rants

            October 24, 2019 at 17:52

            ah yes. Modding. I’ve been modding my Skyrim the past few days.

            Hey… I wonder if Skyrim has an RTX mod….

            edit: Looks like the answer is pseudo Ray Tracing using ENB. So no

          • Raptor Rants

            October 24, 2019 at 17:52

            ah yes. Modding. I’ve been modding my Skyrim the past few days.

            Hey… I wonder if Skyrim has an RTX mod….

            edit: Looks like the answer is pseudo Ray Tracing using ENB. So no

          • Raptor Rants

            October 24, 2019 at 17:52

            ah yes. Modding. I’ve been modding my Skyrim the past few days.

            Hey… I wonder if Skyrim has an RTX mod….

            edit: Looks like the answer is pseudo Ray Tracing using ENB. So no

          • HairyEwok

            October 24, 2019 at 19:30

            Well Nvidia does have that dedicated team remaking old games to handle RTX so never give up XD

          • Aries

            October 24, 2019 at 17:31

            Same here, hopefully when i get a new monitor will try those features out

  7. Guz

    October 24, 2019 at 13:25

    I need to upgrade my PC before this comes out!! Monitor as well

    Reply

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